Archive | 21:22

Double-Dip Recession – Much Less Likely

6 Sep

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“The chart above over the last 12 months of: a) the Bloomberg U.S. Financial Conditions Index (data here) and the S&P 500 Volatility Index (data here) show that the financial markets went through a rough patch in May, June and July of slightly elevated risk, but have now recovered to the conditions that prevailed in the spring.  The recent improvements in these two daily market measures of risk should probably mean that the chances of a double-dip recession are much less likely now than at any time over the last four months.”

[via Mark J. Perry & Bloomberg]

Immigration: Pivotal To The American Business Model

6 Sep

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Chicago Immigration Protest May 1, 2006

Image by jvoves via Flickr

“Between one-third and one-half all students at Stanford, MIT, University of Pennsylvania, University of Chicago and UC Berkeley come from abroad. These schools are training camps for immigrants transitioning into careers as American entrepreneurs.

Equally important, immigrant commerce also thrives at the grassroots level. It manifests most visibly in the proliferation of small stores, restaurants, food-processing businesses, garment factories and trucking lines. Overall, immigrants are 60% more likely to start a new business than native-born Americans. The number of self-employed immigrants has grown even in New York City, where the number of self-employed among the native-born has dropped.

Immigrant businesses have thrived by providing basic services, such as banks, insurance agents, funeral homes and grocery stores. Some of these businesses arose because the mainstream community had failed to identify opportunities in these markets or had consciously decided to exclude them.

This diversity will allow Americans to tap the global market, and culture, in ways other countries and their state-based enterprises just can’t match.”

You find the complete comment on Forbes: America’s 21st-Century Business Model.

Working Days Lost Due To Labour Disputes

6 Sep

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[via The Economist]

Derek Sivers: Keep Your Goals To Yourself

6 Sep

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The South African Economy Shines In Paarl

6 Sep

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A glass of red South African wine

Image via Wikipedia

Too the extent the vintage wine price can be used as an economic indicator it looks like South Africa is recovering from the financial crisis. The nation’s biggest Wine Auction in Paarl wine district this weekend reached vital levels:

“South African vintners raised 41 percent more money at the annual Nederburg Auction, the biggest of its kind in the country, as increased bidding reversed a two- year decline.

Income at the Nederburg Auction jumped to 5.68 million rand ($789,513) from just over 4 million rand a year earlier.”

Full story from Bloomberg here.

Hot And Not In The Social Media Sphere

6 Sep

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[via All Things Digital]

Top Ranked Business Blogs Of The Month

6 Sep

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1. The Conscience of a Liberal
2. DealBook – New York Times blog
3. The Big Picture
4. Calculated Risk
5. Techdirt
6. felixsalmon.com
7. Grasping Reality with Both Hands: Brad DeLong’s Se
8. naked capitalism
9. Seth Godin’s Blog
10. The Baseline Scenario
11. EconLog
12. Company Town
13. Freakonomics – New York Times Blog
14. Mish’s Global Economic Trend Analysis
15. Greg Mankiw’s Blog
16. Vox
17. Economist’s View
18. A VC
19. CARPE DIEM
20. Infectious Greed [via Wikio & Paul Krugman on Twitter]

Liberal Labour Laudes

6 Sep

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BBC: Petrobras files $65bn share offer.

Bloomberg: China Property Bonds Rebound on Record Sales: Credit Markets.

BusinessWeek: Philippine Bull Rally to Be ‘Massive,’ Macquarie Says.

United States President Obama meets former Bri...

United States President Obama meets former British Prime Minister and Labour Politician, Gordon Brown, in Washington, D.C. // Image via Wikipedia

CNBC: President Barack Obama launches several economic initiatives this week aimed at generating some desperately needed U.S. job growth and limiting predicted Democratic losses in Nov. 2 congressional elections.

MarketWatch: Trade Data Unravel Mystery: A fresh set of trade data due out this week will be eagerly cross-examined by economists after last month’s report proved to be something of a cipher.

Reuters: Oil dips towards $74 on U.S. glut at driving season end.

SmartMoney: How To Call Bluffs In Poker and Investing: Hough: A pair of new studies suggests when to bet big or walk away.

The Economist: Bagehot considers the controversy surrounding David Cameron’s press chief..

The Business Insider: Roubini: The Economy Is So Weak Now That Any Shock Will Cause A Double-Dip.

The Financial Times: Fears rise as EU nations aim to raise borrowing.

The Guardian: Cameron’s advisory panel is full of corporate big shots. But didn’t he promise he would fight against the influence of special interests?

The New York Times: Putin Extends Ban on Russian Grain Exports.

The Wall Street Journal: The Obama administration is moving toward using the revenue from expiring tax cuts for the wealthy to finance about $35 billion of tax cuts for small businesses and workers.

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